Quick Reference: The Mississippi Indicator Sheet
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Indicator |
Why it moves NOI |
Where to get it |
Review cadence |
|---|---|---|---|
|
City vs metro population |
Jackson city is shrinking while the metro holds near 610,000; the two tell opposite stories |
Census QuickFacts and Population Estimates Program |
Annual |
|
JXN Water rates and billing |
Utility cost and reliability affect Jackson turnover and delinquency |
JXN Water rate notices; federal receivership filings |
Each rate order |
|
Water system governance |
Determines who sets rates after receivership ends |
Metro Jackson Water Authority legislation; court orders |
Quarterly |
|
MWUA wind pool rate filings |
Wind can be the largest single line in a coastal operating budget |
Mississippi Insurance Department |
Annual, plus filings |
|
NFIP flood zone and elevation |
A zone change can reprice a coastal asset |
FEMA flood maps; elevation certificates |
On map revision |
|
Strengthen Mississippi Homes |
Shapes coastal wind pricing over time; rentals are excluded from grants |
Mississippi Insurance Department SMH page |
Each grant round |
|
Ingalls, Keesler, casino payrolls |
Coastal demand is payroll-driven, not migration-driven |
BLS QCEW; Mississippi Gaming Commission revenue reports |
Monthly to quarterly |
|
Coastal visitor volume |
Tourism drives seasonal and short-term rental competition |
Coastal Mississippi visitor and economic impact reporting |
Annual |
|
Multifamily inventory and deliveries |
A concentrated coastal inventory means single deliveries move a submarket |
Third-party market reports; local permitting |
Quarterly |
|
HUD Fair Market Rents |
A consistent reference series, not a market-rent substitute |
HUD User FMR tables |
Annual |
|
Notice and deposit rules |
3-day rent demand, 14-day breach notice, 30-day month-to-month, 45-day deposit return |
Miss. Code Ann. §§ 89-8-13, 89-8-19, 89-8-21 |
On statutory change |
Two Markets, One State, Different Operating Risks
On a spreadsheet, Jackson and the Mississippi Gulf Coast look like the same trade. Average asking rents in both sit near $1,100. Both operate under Mississippi's statewide landlord-tenant framework, which has no statewide rent cap and relatively short statutory notice periods in several common situations. An out-of-state owner comparing the two on rent and cap rate alone will treat them as interchangeable.
They are not, because the variables that decide whether each one works are different.
In Jackson, two of the most important operating variables are population redistribution and utility cost. The city has lost residents for four decades, and the water and sewer system is being rebuilt under federal court supervision with rates rising to pay for it. Whether the tenant base and the operating cost base are stable matters more than whether rents are growing.
On the coast, the dominant variable is insurance. Demand is comparatively durable, anchored to shipbuilding, an Air Force base, casinos and tourism. But wind and flood coverage can consume a share of gross rent that would be unrecognisable in an inland market, and the cost is set by state filings and federal flood maps rather than by anything an operator controls.
Managers arriving from a market where the legal framework is the main state-specific risk, as with Ohio's eviction process or Georgia's dispossessory proceedings, need a different instrument panel here. For this particular market comparison, the more material operating differences are utilities in Jackson and insurance on the Gulf Coast.
Start by Distrusting the Rent Data
Published asking-rent figures for Jackson vary dramatically by source, which makes any single platform average a poor underwriting benchmark.
As of mid-2026, RentCafe reported Jackson's average rent at roughly $1,096. Zumper reported approximately $1,175 as of July 2026, based on rolling 30-day listing data. Rent.com reported a range of roughly $1,502 for a studio to $2,201 for a two-bedroom, while simultaneously listing one-bedroom averages of $619 to $795 in several Jackson neighbourhoods.
Those are not small differences, and the point is not that any one platform is wrong. The platforms measure different things: units currently advertised on that platform, weighted by whatever mix of institutional and individual supply chooses to advertise there. In a large market that noise averages out. In a mid-size market where a handful of newer Class A properties advertise nationally and much of the stock never advertises at all, it does not.
Three rules follow.
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Lead with your own achieved rent. Renewal rates, concession load and delinquency ageing from your own ledger are the only rent data specific to your asset class and submarket.
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Use local comparable asking rents second. Verified comps from the submarket, not a metro-wide platform average.
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Use HUD Fair Market Rents as a consistent reference series, not as a substitute for achieved market rent. FMRs are computed on a standard national methodology and published annually by metro and bedroom count. They will not tell you what your unit rents for, but they are comparable year over year and across markets, which listing averages are not.
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Anchor to Census ACS for the denominator. Median household income, renter share and gross rent as a share of income tell you whether a rent level is collectible, which in Jackson is the question that actually matters.
Jackson: Track the City and the Metro Separately
This is the most consequential distinction in the Jackson market, and it disappears if you track one number.
Jackson city recorded 153,701 residents in the 2020 census, against a peak above 200,000 in 1980. Census estimates have since put the city below 150,000, with recent vintages in the low-to-mid 140,000s depending on which series you use. In the 2022 vintage estimates, Census data showed Jackson as the fastest-shrinking U.S. city with at least 50,000 residents, a distinction it took from San Francisco. That was a point-in-time ranking for that estimate period, not a standing 2026 status.
The metro tells a different story. The Jackson MS metropolitan statistical area was 597,727 at the 2020 census, and Census estimates retrieved through FRED put it at 609,847 for 2025. The metro has been far more stable than the city, hovering around 610,000 in recent estimates.
The gap between those two series is the whole insight. The city's loss is substantially redistribution rather than evaporation, with households moving outward into Madison and Rankin counties, to Madison, Ridgeland, Flowood, Brandon, Pearl and Clinton.
For a property manager this reframes the portfolio. A Jackson city asset is competing against the reasons households are leaving: school assignment, perceived safety, service reliability and utility performance. A Rankin or Madison County asset is capturing that same flow. Two properties twenty minutes apart sit on opposite sides of a migration, and portfolio-level averages will conceal it entirely. Track occupancy, turnover and delinquency by jurisdiction rather than by metro.
The demand that does anchor the city is institutional and comparatively immobile: the University of Mississippi Medical Center, state government, Jackson State University and the hospital systems. Those payrolls do not relocate to Brandon. Knowing precisely which of your units sit inside that catchment is worth more than any metro rent forecast.
Jackson: The Water System Is an Operating Line Item Now
Jackson's water and sewer system has been under federal court oversight since 2022, managed by a third party, JXN Water, under stipulated orders supervised by Judge Henry Wingate following EPA and Department of Justice action.
Three things about that arrangement bear directly on operating budgets.
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Rates are rising by court order. JXN Water states that the federal court approved a rate adjustment increasing residential bills by approximately 11.7%, an average of about $8.88 per month, beginning 23 March 2026, taking the average single-family combined water and sewer bill to roughly $88 per month. The utility describes the same order as an increase of approximately 12 percent for all customers, so both figures appear in current reporting and refer to the same adjustment. Independent reporting put the underlying operating shortfall at roughly $1.2 million per month.
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Billing and collection have materially changed. Trade reporting on the receivership indicates JXN Water reached about 90% of billed revenue collected by April 2026, up from roughly 54% earlier in the process, following an advanced metering rollout that also produced leak-detection data. The sharp improvement in collections shows that billing, metering and collection enforcement have changed substantially during the receivership. For any Jackson property where water is billed to the resident or allocated through a ratio utility billing arrangement, the effective household cost has moved for two reasons at once: the rate rose, and bills that were previously not issued or not enforced now are.
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Governance after receivership is unresolved. Legislation creating a Metro Jackson Water Authority was signed in 2026, but reporting indicates a U.S. district judge blocked transfer of control while the federal receivership remains in place, and a transition plan is due to the EPA, DOJ, state agencies and the city later in 2026. Who ultimately sets Jackson's water rates, and on what schedule, is still open. Anyone underwriting a Jackson asset on today's utility cost should stress-test it.
Practically, three things belong in the model. Utility cost per unit should be a separate trended line rather than a component of a single operating-expense total, which is what property-level income and expense management is for. Meter and consumption data should sit against the unit rather than the property, because that is where the new metering has surfaced variance. And service interruptions should be logged as maintenance events, because they affect resident experience, operating costs and leasing performance.
The Gulf Coast: Insurance Shapes the Return
Coastal Mississippi operates on a coverage structure that surprises most out-of-state owners. Coastal properties commonly require separate consideration of property coverage, wind and hail coverage, and flood coverage. A standard property policy may exclude wind, and flood is generally placed separately through the NFIP or a private flood insurer. The exact structure depends on the property, insurer, coverage form and lender, and must be confirmed with an insurance professional.
Wind is usually the expensive component. Where the private market will not write it, owners turn to the Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association, the state's insurer of last resort for wind and hail, created under Miss. Code Ann. § 83-34-1 and serving six counties: Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Stone and George. The pool is generally used when private-market coverage is unavailable or less accessible, and its premiums and deductibles should be compared against available admitted and surplus lines options rather than assumed to be better or worse.
Two developments have reset coastal budgets.
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The wind pool raised rates by 16%, effective 1 January 2026, after a long period without a comparable increase. Reporting attributes the increase in part to a rollback of state reinsurance subsidies that had been holding coastal rates down. Insurance Commissioner Mike Chaney has said Mississippi has directed more than $400 million since 2005 toward subsidising Gulf Coast rates through reinsurance purchases, and has described that approach as unsustainable. A single 16% step after a long flat period is the repricing of a subsidy, not a one-off to absorb.
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The surplus lines share is growing. Chaney has publicly noted that nonadmitted, surplus lines carriers now write a larger share of coastal policies than a few years ago, and that the sharpest increases have come from that segment. Surplus lines carriers are not backed by the state guaranty fund, which makes carrier admitted status a due-diligence item rather than a footnote.
The operational consequence is that on the coast, insurance is a tracked line with its own forecast, not an annual renewal task. Premiums, the deductible basis, named-storm deductible triggers and carrier status should sit alongside taxes and utilities with year-over-year movement visible before renewal, not discovered at it.
The Mitigation Grant Does Not Reach Rental Property
This matters, and it is the point most coastal market commentary currently gets wrong.
Senate Bill 2409 of the 2026 regular session funded the Strengthen Mississippi Homes Program, administered by the Mississippi Insurance Department under Miss. Code Ann. § 83-1-191. It provides wind and hail mitigation grants for retrofits to the IBHS FORTIFIED Home Roof standard, awarded in periodic grant rounds, funded by the Mississippi insurance industry rather than the state general fund.
Rental property does not qualify. The department's published eligibility criteria state that applicants must be Mississippi residents of an owner-occupied single-family home claimed as their primary residence, and that townhomes, rental property, condominiums and mobile homes do not qualify. Only one grant is available per household. Managers should not build the grant into a rental-property capital plan, and should treat the programme as a broader mitigation-policy development affecting the coastal insurance market over time rather than a currently available source of rental capital.
Several further conditions are worth knowing even so, because they signal where the market is heading. The grant covers up to $10,000 toward the roof upgrade and is paid directly to the contractor on completion and receipt of the FORTIFIED certificate. The evaluator's fee is paid by the applicant and is not covered. Applicants must have an in-force homeowners policy, flood insurance if in a special flood hazard area, and an in-force wind policy at completion. Work must be done by a programme-approved, licensed contractor, not by the owner. And in the six coastal counties, the dwelling must sit in a jurisdiction that has adopted and actively enforces a building code under Miss. Code Ann. § 17-2-1 meeting or exceeding the IBHS FORTIFIED roof standard.
That last condition is the one with portfolio implications. It makes local building-code adoption an insurance-relevant attribute of a coastal jurisdiction, which is worth knowing whether or not any grant is involved. FORTIFIED designations run five years and require re-designation, so where FORTIFIED specification is pursued on rental stock as a self-funded loss-mitigation decision, the designation expiry belongs in the asset record alongside roof age and inspection history, which is what utility and asset management at unit level is for.
The Gulf Coast: What Drives Demand
Coastal demand is payroll-driven and unusually diversified for a market of its size, which is why it behaves differently from Jackson.
The Kirkland Company's Q1 2026 Gulfport-Biloxi multifamily market report puts the MSA population at 426,793, Mississippi's second-largest region, with a market-report estimate of about 185 apartment properties and 26,512 units. That is a relatively concentrated inventory, which means individual deliveries can have a noticeable effect on submarket competition.
The demand anchors respond to different cycles, which is why they should be tracked separately. Shipbuilding and defence, through Ingalls Shipbuilding in Pascagoula, the Naval Construction Battalion Center and Bollinger's Mississippi operations, is federal-contract driven. Keesler Air Force Base contributes permanent personnel plus a large annual training throughput, and military demand carries housing allowances that behave differently from market income. Gaming and hospitality generates steady workforce housing demand. Healthcare is locally stable, with the same market report citing Singing River Health System at roughly 3,000 employees across three hospitals. And tourism is large: Coastal Mississippi reported roughly 15.7 million visitors in 2024 with an estimated $2.2 billion in economic impact and more than 3,000 jobs.
That tourism figure carries a competitive implication. In beachfront submarkets, short-term rentals can compete with long-term housing for the same underlying units, so changes in short-term rental supply and in municipal STR rules in Biloxi, Gulfport, Bay St. Louis and Ocean Springs are worth tracking as a supply input. A local ordinance restricting short-term use can return units to the long-term pool within a quarter.
The Operating Layer Beneath Both Markets
The core residential landlord-tenant rules in Mississippi are statewide, including in Hinds and Harrison counties, though local court practice and municipal requirements can still differ.
Under Miss. Code Ann. § 89-8-13, the two most common notices work differently. For nonpayment of rent, subsection (5)(a) permits written notice specifying that the rental agreement will terminate if payment is not made within three days. For a material noncompliance other than nonpayment, subsection (3) requires notice specifying the acts and omissions and stating that the agreement terminates on a date not less than fourteen days after receipt if the breach is not remedied within a reasonable time not exceeding fourteen days, and the agreement does not terminate if the breach is adequately remedied before that date. Where substantially the same breach recurs within six months and the breaching party cannot show due care, subsection (3)(b) permits termination on at least fourteen days' notice without a further cure opportunity.
Section 89-8-19 governs periodic tenancies: seven days' written notice to end a week-to-week tenancy, thirty days for month-to-month, and no termination notice required where a party has committed a substantial violation materially affecting health or safety. Section 89-8-21 requires the remaining deposit to be returned within forty-five days after termination, delivery of possession and the tenant's demand, with an itemised statement of deductions; non-compliance can trigger the statutory penalty and other damages.
Mississippi also rebuilt its residential eviction procedure in 2022 through SB 2461, adding §§ 89-8-31 through 89-8-45 covering authorisation, filing documents, summons and service, default judgments, and orders to vacate and warrants of removal. Section 89-8-37 addresses judgments being signed and executed on the same business day they are granted. A properly filed Mississippi possession case can move very quickly.
Common Mistakes Property Managers Make in These Markets
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Underwriting Jackson on a national listing average. Published averages diverge sharply. Lead with achieved rent, then local comps, then HUD FMR as a reference series.
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Treating Jackson city and the Jackson metro as one market. The city is below 150,000 and falling; the metro is near 610,000 and stable. Portfolio averages hide the migration running through your assets.
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Modelling Jackson water on last year's bill. Rates rose by court order effective 23 March 2026, collections have tightened sharply, and post-receivership governance is unsettled.
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Budgeting coastal insurance as a renewal rather than a forecast. The 16% MWUA increase effective 1 January 2026 followed a long flat period and a subsidy rollback.
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Not checking whether the carrier is admitted. Surplus lines carriers write a growing share of coastal risk and are not backed by the state guaranty fund.
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Assuming rental eligibility for Strengthen Mississippi Homes. Rental property, townhomes, condominiums and mobile homes are excluded under the department's published criteria.
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Holding a single deductible number. Named-storm and wind deductibles are typically percentages of insured value, so dollar exposure moves with every revaluation.
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Ignoring short-term rental supply on the coast. In beachfront submarkets it competes for the same underlying units.
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Misstating the 45-day deposit deadline. It runs from termination, delivery of possession and the tenant's demand, and requires an itemised statement.
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Underestimating how quickly a properly filed possession case can move under the post-2022 procedure in §§ 89-8-31 to 89-8-45.
Build the Tracking System Before the Renewal Arrives
Everything above changes on someone else's schedule: a court, an insurance commissioner, a flood map, a census release. The only part an operator controls is whether the change is visible early enough to price it.
Four things belong in the system. Utility cost per unit should be a trended line held against the unit, because Jackson's metering has made per-unit consumption a real variable. Insurance should be held as a forecast with premium, deductible basis and carrier admitted status recorded per asset, so a filing announced in summer reaches the January budget. Roof age, specification, FORTIFIED status and inspection history should be tracked as asset attributes, because on the coast they are insurance inputs. And occupancy, turnover and delinquency should be reportable by jurisdiction, since a Hinds County asset and a Rankin County asset sit on opposite sides of the same migration.
RIOO's income and expense management gives utility and insurance their own trended lines instead of burying them in a single operating-expense total, and utility and asset management holds meter, consumption and asset-condition data at the unit level where the Jackson variance lives. And portfolio-level dashboards and reports turn all of it into a jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction view rather than a metro average that conceals the divergence.
Conclusion
Mississippi rewards operators who track the right variable, and the right variable is not rent.
In Jackson, watch population at the city level against the metro, and watch the water system: the March 2026 rate order, the collections recovery, and the unresolved question of who governs the system once the federal receivership ends. Rent outcomes in Jackson follow from those things.
On the Gulf Coast, watch insurance: the 16% wind pool increase effective January 2026, the shrinking state subsidy behind it, the growing surplus lines share, the flood maps, and the Strengthen Mississippi Homes programme, which excludes rental property but will shape the pool the rental stock sits inside. Coastal demand is comparatively dependable. Cost is not.
The statutory layer is the same in both markets and comparatively simple: a three-day rent demand under § 89-8-13(5), a fourteen-day breach notice under § 89-8-13(3), a thirty-day month-to-month termination under § 89-8-19, a forty-five-day deposit return under § 89-8-21, and a fast possession procedure. Get it right once and it stays right. The market and cost variables change by court order and by insurance filing, and those need a standing review.
This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, insurance or investment advice. Market figures, utility rates, insurance filings and grant terms change frequently, and published rent data varies materially by source. Verify current figures with the Mississippi Insurance Department, JXN Water, HUD User and the U.S. Census Bureau, and consult a licensed Mississippi attorney or insurance professional on a specific matter.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. Why do published rent figures for Jackson vary so much?
Because each platform measures only what is advertised on it. In mid-2026 RentCafe reported roughly $1,096 and Zumper roughly $1,175, while Rent.com reported $1,502 for studios up to $2,201 for two-bedrooms alongside neighbourhood one-bedroom figures of $619 to $795. Use achieved rent first, local comps second, and HUD Fair Market Rents as a consistent reference series.
Q2. Is Jackson's population still declining?
The city is. Jackson recorded 153,701 residents in the 2020 census against a 1980 peak above 200,000, and Census estimates have since put it below 150,000. In the 2022 vintage estimates it was the fastest-shrinking U.S. city with at least 50,000 residents, a ranking specific to that period.
Q3. Is the Jackson metro shrinking too?
No. The Jackson MS metropolitan statistical area was 597,727 at the 2020 census and Census estimates put it at 609,847 for 2025. The metro has held near 610,000, which indicates redistribution toward Madison and Rankin counties rather than regional decline.
Q4. What is happening with Jackson water rates?
JXN Water reports a court-approved adjustment of approximately 11.7%, about $8.88 per month, beginning 23 March 2026, taking the average combined water and sewer bill to roughly $88. The utility describes the same order as approximately 12 percent. The system remains under federal court oversight and billed-revenue collection has risen substantially during the receivership.
Q5. Who will run Jackson's water system afterwards?
Unresolved. Metro Jackson Water Authority legislation was signed in 2026, but reporting indicates the federal court blocked transfer of control while the receivership stands, with a transition plan due to state and federal agencies later in 2026.
Q6. How is coastal Mississippi insurance structured?
Coastal properties commonly need separate consideration of property, wind and hail, and flood coverage, since a standard property policy may exclude wind and flood is typically placed separately. Where private wind coverage is unavailable, owners use the Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association, covering Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Stone and George counties.
Q7. How much did the Mississippi wind pool increase?
16%, effective 1 January 2026, after a long period without a comparable increase, following a rollback of state reinsurance subsidies.
Q8. Do rental properties qualify for Strengthen Mississippi Homes grants?
No. The Mississippi Insurance Department's published criteria limit eligibility to Mississippi residents of an owner-occupied single-family home claimed as their primary residence, and state that townhomes, rental property, condominiums and mobile homes do not qualify. Only one grant is available per household.
Q9. What drives rental demand on the Mississippi Gulf Coast?
Shipbuilding and defence at Ingalls Shipbuilding, the Naval Construction Battalion Center and Bollinger; Keesler Air Force Base; gaming and hospitality; healthcare including Singing River Health System; and tourism, which Coastal Mississippi reported at roughly 15.7 million visitors and an estimated $2.2 billion economic impact in 2024.
Q10. What are Mississippi's basic notice and deposit rules?
A three-day notice for nonpayment under § 89-8-13(5)(a); a not-less-than-fourteen-day termination notice with a cure period not exceeding fourteen days for other material breaches under § 89-8-13(3); seven days for week-to-week and thirty days for month-to-month under § 89-8-19; and a forty-five-day deposit return with an itemised statement under § 89-8-21.